Probability underpins AI, cryptography and statistics. However, as the philosopher Bertrand Russell said, “Probability is the ...

Mark Blumenthal and Natalie Jackson of Huffpost Pollster write: If you read polls in the news, you’re probably familiar with the term “margin of error.” What ...

After my post the other day on tracking public opinion with biased polls, someone pointed me to this 2011 article by David Yeager, Jon Krosnick, LinChiat Chang, Harold Javitz, Matthew Levendusky, ...

Why do pollsters make such a big deal about probability sampling? You'd think that choosing people to interview should be easy. Take three of these, four of those, and two of the other. But it's not.

1. Distinguish between probability and non-probability sampling and discuss the advantages and disadvantages of each. If you can not specify the probability that any given individual will be in the ...

Survey sampling and estimation methods form the cornerstone of modern statistical inference, underpinning research across the social, medical, and natural sciences. At their heart, these methods ...

The COVID-19 pandemic has infected over 38 million people around the world and is showing no signs of going away any time soon. Researchers worldwide are frantically working on developing an effective ...

The New York Times and CBS News made big news in the polling world this weekend when they announced that they will begin using online survey panels from YouGov as part of their election coverage.